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Rugby World Cup Daily - France to wear white as Craig Joubert gets final

If Wales lose to Australia, BuzzKillington, then yeah, they will be ranked below Ireland and Argentina (they'll have 80.24pts; if they lose by more than 15, they'll be at 79.81pts).

So, I was curious and messed about and got this:
France v New Zealand: (home-field handicap applies to NZ)
France win: Looks like they'd be ranked #1, regardless of 3rd place game results. The Kiwis would then be ranked 2nd or 3rd, depending on various outcomes.
NZ win: The teams change a measly 0.09pts, so I think they still remain above SA - even if NZ win by over 15.

Australia v Wales:
Wales win: Wales now have 84.18pts and move up to 4th. If they beat Australia by over 15 points, Wales move up to 3rd, and SA down to 4th, and Australia 5th.
Australia win: Aus = 87.35, and Wales 80.24pts (even more if 15-pt diff.).

So, NZ end up in 3rd place if:
1) France wins by <15 and Australia wins by >15
2) France wins by >15 and Wales wins by >15

Never gonna happen...but one can dream.

3 Years, 2 Months ago

Rugby World Cup Daily - France to wear white as Craig Joubert gets final

For all those wondering why Wales is now ranked lower than England...the IRB ranking system is pretty clearly laid out.

Because Wales was ranked higher than France last week, by France winning, they gained more points than what would've happened had Wales won.

(The pre-match points difference was x=0.53 in favor of Wales, so with the IRB ranking calculation for the points change: y = 1/10x + 1, that means the change would be 1.053 points by France beating Wales. Had Wales won, the change would've only been 0.047 points).

Then, because it's part of the WC finals stages, there's a 2x multiplier, meaning that Wales ended up losing 2.11 points, and France gained 2.11 points.

Because England didn't play, having been knocked out, their points remained unchanged. Notice, though, how they lost almost 3 points by losing to France in the QF.

Even though they're now below England, by having made it to the semi-finals, they're still higher in points than they were at the end of the pool stages (up 3pts by beating Ireland, and then down 2pts by losing to France).

3 Years, 2 Months ago

Rugby World Cup Daily - All Blacks outplay the Wallabies

Unfortunately, it wouldn't have.

Berrick Barnes still would have kicked the ball almost every time he got it, giving up possession; Australia still would have had no one who could compete at catching high ball; and they still would have been slightly worse than NZ in the scrum. The only place Australia seemed better than the ABs - and not even consistently - was the lineout.

Did Joubert miss out on (many) opportunities to ping the Kiwis in the breakdown? Yeah. And staying up late to catch the game, I was pretty pissed every time he did (especially because he managed to blow the whistle most of the times Australia were infringing).

But don't kid yourself. That's nowhere near the reason Australia failed to compete with New Zealand. The Wallabies looked like they lacked ambition and didn't seem able to adapt and change things up when what they were doing wasn't working. No team really seems to have the drive to stop NZ's dominance, and, for me, it's all become a bit boring.

The one plus side from the match, though, was Quade Cooper getting smashed in some tackles. He did well to regain some confidence later in the match, but I enjoyed seeing him get rocked and looking insecure. Too bad Deans is so in love with Cooper he failed to bring any backup who may have instilled a bit more solid tactics in the side.

3 Years, 2 Months ago

Quade Cooper - Public Enemy Number One in New Zealand

I wonder if anyone on the Wallaby coaching staff regrets not having Giteau for the bench?

3 Years, 2 Months ago

Sam Warburton red card in Rugby World Cup Semi Final

It was definitely in the second half - I want to say sometime around 60 minutes, but I can't be certain...with all the ping-pong kicking going on, time all sort of blended together. I'd have to get a copy of the match for say for sure.

3 Years, 2 Months ago

Sam Warburton red card in Rugby World Cup Semi Final

What defensive performance?

3 Years, 2 Months ago

Sam Warburton red card in Rugby World Cup Semi Final

I disagree. Wales played almost the same (minus a slight disadvantage in the scrum department) without Warburton. They were the only side to score a try.

Had Hook not missed two penalties, or Jones a conversion, they'd be the side going into the finals.

Would things have been different with that 15th man? Yeah, sure. But you can't say definitively that they would have done any better, I don't think.

3 Years, 2 Months ago

Sam Warburton red card in Rugby World Cup Semi Final

Red was fine. It was a bit harsh, but it was Rolland's call, and he made it.

I'd like to see Clerc cited for his soccer dive later in the match after he kicked a clearance and went down like a heap of potatoes. Sorta makes me wonder if he was really all that dazed from the Warburton tackle after all. But that doesn't change the fact that, at the time, red looked to be the option.

On a final note...I can't help but think this year is going to be yet another SH triumph - especially when all we've got going into the final is a team who barely beat out a 14-man side - a team that even with an extra player for 60 minutes of game time couldn't score a try. Thanks, France.

3 Years, 2 Months ago

The Rugby Club Plays of the Week - RWC Quarter Finals

Which was what?

3 Years, 2 Months ago

Friday Funnies - Keep your eye on the ball, and the beer

Excellent in-depth analysis there in the write-up, RD.

But how does one comment on a post of a humorous incident in the Aviva Premiership? Does one comment on the surprise that there is interesting rugby being played outside of the World Cup?

No. Instead, we should quip about how the real victim is the guy, given how expensive that beer probably was. Or there's the joke "Well, that's one way to deal with the haka!" (see the shirt).

Baseball may not have much on rugby in terms of athleticism and entertainment, but looks like rugby fans could learn a small lesson in priorities from guys like this:
http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/ABPub/2011/03/06/2014421840.jpg

3 Years, 2 Months ago

 
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